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November 26, 2013

Home Prices Advance in Third Quarter

by Judi

Home Prices Moving Up

San Diego home prices

Today, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, showed that the U.S. National Home Price Index rose 3.2% in the third quarter of 2013 and 11.2% over the last four quarters.

“The second and third quarters of 2013 were very good for home prices,” says David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices. “The National Index is up 11.2% year-over-year, the strongest figure since the boom peaked in 2006. The 10-City and 20-City Composites year-over-year growth at 13.3% was their highest annual numbers since February 2006.

“Twelve cities posted double-digit annual returns. Regionally, the West continues to lead with Las Vegas gaining 29.1% year-over-year followed by San Francisco at 25.7%, Los Angeles at 21.8% and San Diego at 20.9%. San Francisco and Los Angeles showed their highest annual returns since March 2001 and December 2005. Although Chicago has not reached double-digit growth, the city recorded its highest year-over-year gain since November 2005.

 Nineteen cities decelerated month-over-month from August to September. Las Vegas and Tampa showed the most weakness with their rates declining by 1.6 percentage points. Las Vegas went from a +2.9% monthly return in August to +1.3% in September while Tampa decreased from +1.8% to +0.2%. Charlotte was the only city to post a negative monthly return for September, its first since November 2012. Detroit managed to take the lead with a monthly increase of 1.5%, but still remains the only city below its January 2000 level.

The table below summarizes the results for September 2013. The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices are revised for the 24 prior months, based on the receipt of additional source data.

2013 Q3 2013 Q3/2013 Q2 2013 Q2/2013 Q1
Level Change (%) Change (%) 1-Year Change (%)
U.S. National Index 150.92 3.2% 7.1% 11.2%
September 2013 September/August August/July
Metropolitan Area Level Change (%) Change (%) 1-Year Change (%)
Atlanta 113.99 0.5% 1.7% 18.7%
Boston 169.04 0.5% 0.7% 7.5%
Charlotte 124.85 -0.2% 1.0% 7.8%
Chicago 128.05 0.3% 1.6% 9.7%
Cleveland 107.23 0.3% 0.5% 5.0%
Dallas 132.55 0.2% 0.6% 9.0%
Denver 147.30 0.2% 0.9% 9.9%
Detroit 93.86 1.5% 2.0% 17.2%
Las Vegas 125.74 1.3% 2.9% 29.1%
Los Angeles 212.83 1.1% 2.0% 21.8%
Miami 171.70 0.8% 0.8% 14.3%
Minneapolis 138.40 0.8% 1.8% 10.1%
New York 173.45 0.6% 1.1% 4.3%
Phoenix 143.14 1.2% 1.5% 18.6%
Portland 160.18 0.7% 1.2% 13.5%
San Diego 193.51 0.9% 1.8% 20.9%
San Francisco 179.91 0.8% 0.9% 25.7%
Seattle 160.87 0.3% 0.5% 13.2%
Tampa 154.24 0.2% 1.8% 14.5%
Washington 205.25 0.4% 0.7% 7.0%
Composite-10 180.03 0.7% 1.3% 13.3%
Composite-20 165.66 0.7% 1.3% 13.3%
Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices and CoreLogic
Data through September 2013

Home Prices Moving Up

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