San Diego Home Prices – Are We At A Bottom?
Home prices should come back to 2001 level, then we can say that the San Diego real estate market has finished it's correction.
For now, I think the San Diego real estate market is in for a very slow recovery due to unemployment that looks like it may skyrocket. This recession is just now starting. This will further accelerate pressure on the housing sector but also later on, push interest rates higher in order for banks to recoup losses. No one has even started talking about the other wave of credit mess, Credit Card debt and the huge amount of adjustable loans issued in 2004-2005 that are set for their first adjustment in 2009. san diego real estate news
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What is not talked about is that Fannie and Freddie loans could get approved with DTI levels as high as 63%. Typically a borrower would need some other strong factor such as high FICO or 6-8 months in reserve. Nevertheless, people are not walking from their homes just because they are upside down. Like most things in life there is rarely one answer, rather a multitude of factors.
Get ready for the next wave of foreclosures, just months away. This new wave of foreclosures will be prime mortgages on upper end homes. San Diego real estate agent
San Diego Homeowners with Underwater Loans
Besides… who needs a credit score in the next 4 years anyway? Many people approaching 800 on their FICO are still being denied new credit card offers and have no desire to purchase any real estate until the dust settles.
Many strongly believe that underwater homeowners should walk away en masse unless their true desire is to stay put for the next 15 to 20 years. Rip the band-aid off!!! San Diego Realtor
Real Esate Outlook 2009 … Economist Gary Shilling
The San Diego real estate market turn-around in 2009 seems to be the usual New Year rose-colored glasses media 'talking head' consensus.
The already crumbling housing market could plummet an additional 20%, says Gary Shilling, president of A. Gary Shilling & Co.
San Diego housing is already down over 30%, but according to Shilling, there's no near-term bottom in sight.
Excess inventory – nearly a year's worth supply – is the "mortal enemy" of any recovery in housing, says Shilling, who does not believe the Fed's efforts to lower mortgage rates will resolve the crisis.
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San Diego real estate – 2009 the Option ARM resets
Many local mortgage lenders feel that San Diego & Southern California were the prime locations for the adjustable Option ARM loans. Now, just when many believed the mortgage crisis was winding down, San Diego real estate will be facing another major obsticle.
Our first post on this problem was San Diego Real Estate … The Coming Next Wave of Foreclosures, published on 7-17-08. It took a little while, but now the major media outlets have picked up on this problem. San Diego Realtors
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San Diego Real Estate – It Could Get Really Ugly
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San Diego Real Estate Bust of 1945?
This is a must watch video, with a lot of solid points.
This real estate bust is NOT fair! Already the California legislature is considering a four month moratorium on foreclosures. In July, a new California law requiring lenders to try a number of times to contact homeowners prior to filing a notice of default has delayed the foreclosure process by 30 days. Plus, Obama is said to be in favor of a 90 nationwide foreclosure moratorium. With the average mortgage payments in San Diego running about $2,000 a month, who is paying for these moratoriums? Just one guess! To help, consider that the Government owns or will be buying these bad loans.
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Why not just cut to the chase, and give the poor, misguided, troubled homeowners the homes for free? After all, the Constitution guarantees happiness, which in these days can be construed only to mean a big house, new cars, and lots of cash for lavish vacations. The poor want nice stuff as much as the rich, and they should have it. The rich guys shouldn't be the only ones who have convertibles and summer homes. Everyone should have those things.
Why should troubled homeowners have to leave their homes and go back to renting? Why wasn't the government watching out for them? It is just because no one watched out for them that they are now in trouble. If the bank was willing to loan all that money, why should the borrower bear any responsibility? Why are only a few people allowed to have what everyone wants? It isn't fair that only those with money are allowed to have a nice life when everyone wants to have a big house and new cars.
San Diego troubled homeowners should hang on; the Obama administration will turn this mess around. It looks like a 90 day nationwide foreclosure moratorium is assured. That should be followed about 60 days later, with another 90 day moratorium extension. Plus, if this plays out right, California should have its 120 day moratorium in effect by then. To be fair, I would assume the California moratorium will be in addition to the Federal moratorium. Those projected foreclosure moratoriums will run to about November 2009. Naturally, the government would not want to spoil the holiday period, so, somehow the foreclosures will again be postponed until 2010!
I’m just kidding with the above scenarios. We all know the San Diego real estate market is really on the verge of an historic ‘V’ shaped market bottom. In San Diego, by mid-2009, most real estate values will be appreciating by double digits! It certainly feels good to go into a fantasy world when talking about the San Diego real estate bust!
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San Diego Home Mortgage Lenders … Hardball or Common Sense?
It's a shame, but in today's San Diego real estate environment, home lenders have taken on the personification of evil. It seems we are always hearing about San Diego banks or home mortgage lenders who do not want to work with homeowners in trouble.
Though this may have held some validity a year or two ago, it is just the opposite today. Effective July 1, 2008, a new California law mandates that the lenders try to contact and work with homeowners prior to filing a notice of default. This requirement adds about an additional 30 days before a notice of default can be filed. From the notice of default date, there is a 90 day period at the end of which is a twenty-one day advertising period. Only after this advertising of the pending foreclosure, can the actual sale or transfer of deed occur.
So with all this time, why do we still hear ‘evil lender' stories? Perhaps one reason is that many San Diego homeowners owe more than their homes are worth. They are under the misconception that they can give the deed back to the lender, avoid foreclosure and perhaps receive a less severe credit rating ding. The problem arises when there are junior liens on the property. These junior liens can be anything from an equity line to a personal loan secured by the home.
A lender may not want to take a deed in lieu of foreclosure because taking title in this manner does not extinguish any junior liens. However, a foreclosure by a senior lien holder essentially wipes out all junior liens.
Also, a borrower cannot simply transfer title to the lender without the lender's permission. Because some lenders have refused to negotiate and accept the deed in lieu of foreclosure, some creative homeowners have quitclaimed the property to the lender anyway, and have recorded the instrument without the lender's permission.
In 1993, the California legislature passed a statute to protect lenders from involuntary (and invalid) transfers of real property to the lender. The lender must record a "notice of nonacceptance of a recorded deed" in the county where the real property is located. Redelivering a grant of the real property back to the original homeowner (e.g., borrower) does not legally retransfer the title. (Cal. Civ. Code § 1058.5.)
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