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November 28, 2007

3

50% Home Price Declines Possible?

by Bob Schwartz

housing marketThe Case/Shiller index, which covers 20 local markets and a national average, showed third-quarter home prices have dropped 1.7 percent from the second quarter. Yale economist Robert Shiller said, "You're talking about [home-price] declines of 50 percent, in real terms. That's not out of the question."

Shiller said the latest declines were notable for two reasons. "First, the third quarter decline, at 1.7%, was the largest quarterly decline in the index's 21-year history. And, second, the year-over-year decline posted its second consecutive record low at minus 4.5%." "We are in the aftermath of the biggest housing boom in history," he said, "and, even though a lot of peoples' models don't reflect [the problems], I think there's a significant chance of recession, over 50 percent." [tags]home values, San Diego real estate, real estate market, real estate bubble, housing bubble, housing bust[/tags] San Diego California real estate

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3 Comments
  1. Dec 4 2007

    I feel for homeowners in San Diego California. The Dallas real estate market is doing fine.

    Larry B.
    Ft. Worth Texas attorneys

  2. Mar 20 2008

    Houses will only fall 30% if everyone rushes for the exits. 5 years ago many markets were underpriced and it’s highly unlikely they’ll go back to that level. There’s still a lot of demand for housing and THERE ALWAYS WILL BE! Anyone predicting a 40% decline is making a prediction because he earns money by making predictions!

    John
    San Diego Bail Bonds

  3. Mar 20 2008

    How do you hedge in the market against falling house prices?

    Megan
    Acne Medication

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