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July 16, 2007

7

4 Sure Signs of A Real Estate Market Top

by Bob Schwartz

 San Diego real estate marketReal estate market signs that appeard from 2002 to 2005:

#1 – Speculation/Greed. "Flipping" properties become so popular that there was even a television show called "Flip This House."  It was almost impossible to pick up a newspaper or magazine without reading about the riches to be made in real estate.

#2 –  Party barometer. Almost at every San Diego party the only thing people talked about was their latest real estate investment and how much they had made in San Diego real estate.

#3 –  New risky mortgages. The Washington Post reported that Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan warned that "home prices seem to have risen to unsustainable levels" in certain local markets. An "Economist" article stated that "42% of all first-time buyers and 25% of all buyers made no down payment on their home purchase last year."

#4 – Huge Consumer debt levels. Consumer spending accounts for approximately 70% of our GDP. That's well above the 75-year average of 65.5% (covering the period 1929 to 2004) as described in a report provided by value investor, Arnold Van Den Berg of Century Management. Such spending levels are not sustainable. The bulk of that consumer debt, approximately $8 trillion, was mortgage debt. [tags]San Diego real estate bubble,San Diego housing bubble,San Diego real estate, San Diego home values[/tags] San Diego real estate agent    home price drop

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7 Comments
  1. Good signs to know for the next go-around. But, what about the signs of a real estate bottom? Houston motorcycle accident attorneys

  2. Shakespeare had it wrong… We should have killed all the economists…

    Ally
    San Diego California Lasik

  3. And to top it all off—soon to be exPres George W Bush will be leaving U.S. with a $10trillion dollar debt to be paid with declining home prices. Give me back Clinton’s 90s balanced budget economy any time compared to the nutz currently running Washington.

    Stephanie
    San Diego California Plastic Surgery

  4. Home prices will fall up to 50%, the Fed cant keep up wit da jingle mail folks, cutting rates to 0 = 33% inflation. Poor, poor timing. Jimmy Rogers recently called on Blind Ben to resign, a total screw up.
    Spencer
    San Diego California Medical Studies

  5. If You dont vote, You may just be Standing in the soup line, instead of proposing just to see people in them. They already exist. Many will need to focus on making a go of it living below their means for a while, these Liars, Killers and Economy Destroyers need to answer to the People. This is a Democracy.

    Tyson
    Florida Bail

  6. I’ve been absent for a while, but now I remember why I used to love this web site. Thanks , I will try and check back more frequently. How frequently you update your web site?

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