FHA Home Loans – The Next Bailout?
In San Diego, one major mortgage lender's new FHA loan originations went from approximately 2% to approximately 60% of new loans! The low down payment (apprx. 3%) and relative availability of FHA home loans are helping to drive hoards of borrowers to the FHA. Many new homeowners with the most risk and fewest dollars are going to the FHA for loans.
In 2007, they handled 3% of new loans. This year it's 26%. However, these additional higher-risk loans are stressing the FHA insurance system. So, now the FHA's own somewhat lax standards are coming back to create a huge hit to their loan insurance fund. It has dropped the FHA insurance fund 39% since last year, raising concerns for the FHA requiring its own bailout.
Related prior posts:
San Diego Housing Market … Hitting the Lottery (or not)
New Relief Program For Homeowners at Risk of Foreclosure
Hope For San Diego Homeowners
Real Estate – An Innovative Way of Not Filing Bankruptcy
Trackbacks & Pingbacks
- Houston attorneys
- FHA Home Loans in Worst Shape in 75 Year History | San Diego real estate market blog
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If you are going to buy a home that you are planning on living in, buy one that you can afford, taxes and insurance and maintenance included. The “asking” price does not tell the whole story, nor does the “adjustable” loan. People paid too much thinking they could flip the house, found no buyer and the adjustable loan was “adjusting”, just like they’d been warned. Of course, no one fore saw the gas prices, the electricity prices, the food prices going through the roof, and all the unemployment.
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Not all foreclosures are due to bad mortgages. I would imagine a healthy number are from folks being out of work too. High and prolonged unemployment has gotta spike the foreclosures.
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We’re only seeing the last of the 1 and first of the 3 year ARMs getting their bumps now. Remember that even though housing was slowing refinancing were very strong. Not only that but most people that played that game pulled equity out too which means they essentially lump themselves in with the last of the buyers. Even if you say the top was at the end of ’06, and it wasn’t, we still need to get through all of ’09 just to clear out the last of the 3 year ARMs. And the only way those people don’t get hit hard is if property values not just stabilize but actually rise a bit as lending standards are tighter and they will have to come up with some equity.
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Homes will always be unaffordable to the average person in high priced CA as long as government subsidize home owners in the form of mortgage tax deductions, and Fannie Mae bailouts. Remove the interest tax deduction and watch the prices correct 50%. This place a bottom on home prices and increase home ownership than further government meddling. The issue is affordability, not unemployment. Prices are still too high due to government tax policies and bad lending practices.
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Dummies should have made sure they could afford houses before buying them. Lenders should have been more analytical is choosing borrowers who really had the capacity to repay loans at whatever the maximum interest rate could be after any teaser rate ended. Fools–all of the players in this drama are fools.
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I think that in the long run, everything will probably be okay. The government will save us.
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Everyone likes to talk about the foreclosures as if it’s a bad thing when the reality is that it’s an incredibly good thing. All the bad loans inflated the market well beyond what it should have been. As these people default on their bad loans the price of housing corrects, as it should, and maybe the rest of us get to buy. This story is good news and it should be reported as such. Or, would we all be better off if the government steps in and inflates pricing again.
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Buying a home is a long term deal. I bought 10 years ago, value has doubled (a couple of years ago I could say tripled), and in 5 years house will be paid off. No more mortgage! Try that with a rental! Yeah… commute sucks.
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