San Diego Home Prices – Are We At A Bottom?
Home prices should come back to 2001 level, then we can say that the San Diego real estate market has finished it's correction.
For now, I think the San Diego real estate market is in for a very slow recovery due to unemployment that looks like it may skyrocket. This recession is just now starting. This will further accelerate pressure on the housing sector but also later on, push interest rates higher in order for banks to recoup losses. No one has even started talking about the other wave of credit mess, Credit Card debt and the huge amount of adjustable loans issued in 2004-2005 that are set for their first adjustment in 2009. san diego real estate news
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San Diego Negative Home Equity
San Diego real estate mortgage bust. Much has been made of stated income, nina, ninja, etc. loans. The fact remains that the debt to income levels that were accepted during the boom time for people who could document their income exceeded 55%. Sub prime borrowers who could document their income could have DTI levels from 50-55%.
What is not talked about is that Fannie and Freddie loans could get approved with DTI levels as high as 63%. Typically a borrower would need some other strong factor such as high FICO or 6-8 months in reserve. Nevertheless, people are not walking from their homes just because they are upside down. Like most things in life there is rarely one answer, rather a multitude of factors.
Get ready for the next wave of foreclosures, just months away. This new wave of foreclosures will be prime mortgages on upper end homes. San Diego real estate agent
San Diego Homeowners with Underwater Loans
People might have got into these loans without thinking too hard but I guarantee you that they won't leave as foolishly. You don't need to be Robert Shiller to understand that your housing equity is not coming back any time soon and that rents are becoming ever more affordable.
Besides… who needs a credit score in the next 4 years anyway? Many people approaching 800 on their FICO are still being denied new credit card offers and have no desire to purchase any real estate until the dust settles.
Many strongly believe that underwater homeowners should walk away en masse unless their true desire is to stay put for the next 15 to 20 years. Rip the band-aid off!!! San Diego Realtor
Real Esate Outlook 2009 … Economist Gary Shilling
The San Diego real estate market turn-around in 2009 seems to be the usual New Year rose-colored glasses media 'talking head' consensus.
The already crumbling housing market could plummet an additional 20%, says Gary Shilling, president of A. Gary Shilling & Co.
San Diego housing is already down over 30%, but according to Shilling, there's no near-term bottom in sight.
Excess inventory – nearly a year's worth supply – is the "mortal enemy" of any recovery in housing, says Shilling, who does not believe the Fed's efforts to lower mortgage rates will resolve the crisis.
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San Diego real estate – 2009 the Option ARM resets
Many local mortgage lenders feel that San Diego & Southern California were the prime locations for the adjustable Option ARM loans. Now, just when many believed the mortgage crisis was winding down, San Diego real estate will be facing another major obsticle.
Our first post on this problem was San Diego Real Estate … The Coming Next Wave of Foreclosures, published on 7-17-08. It took a little while, but now the major media outlets have picked up on this problem. San Diego Realtors
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San Diego Real Estate – It Could Get Really Ugly
Did you see Fortune magazine's article (12/22/08) regarding their picks for the worst 10 real estate markets in the nation for 2009? Eight of the 10 worst markets they've called are here in California. Fortune's article projected valuation losses in the eight California cities of 21-25% for 2009 and additional 2-5% losses for 2010. Really, not what you want to hear anytime, but especially at new years.
Related other blogger's posts:
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- The Housing Chronicles Blog: Investors returning to California's …
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- San Diego real estate blog » San Diego Real Estate Bust of 1945?
- Bubble Markets Inventory Tracking: More On the Purchase
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- Number 2, it is typically still ok to buy at the peak of a "normal real estate cycle." Recall a few years back during the bubble peak a lot of folks were using the prior cycle and said, "well, we bought at the peak then and we did ok. …