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Archive for January 6th, 2009

6
Jan

Home Sales Index Falls To Lowest Level Ever!

 

home sale indexThe National Association of Realtors reported today that their Pending Home Sales Index, based on contracts signed in November, dropped 4.0 percent to 82.3, the lowest level since the series started in 2001.
 
Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist said: "Mounting job losses and very weak consumer confidence deterred home buyers from signing contracts in November. December's housing market activity could be comparably lower due to ongoing problems in the economy."

 

 

November's reading was 5.3 percent lower than a year-ago and October's pending home sales index was revised down to 85.7.                                         San Diego real estate agents

 

 

 

Related other blogger’s posts:

 

 

 

Economic Slump Weakens Pending Home Sales – Wall Street – The current index is the lowest since the series began in 2001. I'll just repeat my comment from last month: Existing home sales have been boosted by all the distress sales in low priced areas. Over time, as foreclosure activity shifts …

TheStar.com | Business | U.S. pending home sales plunge to record low – So November's decline foreshadows bleak results for December's existing home sales numbers, set to be release Jan. 26. Sales contracts fell around the country, but were weakest in the Northeast and Midwest. The Realtors' index was down …

Pending home sales index down 4% in November – MarketWatch – The index, which is considered a leading indicator of existing home sales, was down 5.3% from the prior year. Pending home sales in November fell in all four regions, with declines of 7.2% in the Northeast, 6.7% in the Midwest, …

Pending Home Sales Index Collapses | The Big Picture – PHSI, Annual % Change, 2002 – 09 > The Pending Home Sales Index fell 5.3% below November 2007 when it was 86.9, based on contracts signed in.

6
Jan

San Diego Real Estate – It Could Get Really Ugly

 

San Diego real estate 2009Did you see Fortune magazine's article (12/22/08) regarding their picks for the worst 10 real estate markets in the nation for 2009? Eight of the 10 worst markets they've called are here in California.  Fortune's article projected valuation losses in the eight California cities of 21-25% for 2009 and additional 2-5% losses for 2010. Really, not what you want to hear anytime, but especially at new years.

 

 

The eight worst California markets named by Fortune, in order are:

 

 

 

 

 

Los Angeles   -   2009 projected change: -24.9%

 

 

Stockton   -   2009 projected change: -24.7%

 

 

 

 

 

Riverside   –   2009 projected change: -23.3%

 

 

 

 

 

Sacramento   –   2009 projected change: -22.2%

 

 

 

 

 

Santa Ana/Anaheim   –   2009 projected change: -22.0%

 

 

 

 

 

Fresno   –   2009 projected change: -21.6%

 

 

 

 

 

San Diego   –   2009 projected change: -21.1%

 

 

 

 

 

Bakersfield   –   2009 projected change: -20.9%

 

 

 

 

 

One should keep in mind that California is ground zero for much of the country's ALT-A and Option-ARM mortgages, which are ready to start re-setting this year, the possibility for things to get really ugly is high.                                                    San Diego MLS listings

 

Related other blogger's posts: